China’s carbon emissions are falling but not fast enough

(22 Aug 2025)
RESTRICTION SUMMARY:

ASSOCIATED PRESS
Talatan, Qinghai Province, China – 1 July 2025
1. Various of solar panels at Gonhe Talatan Photovoltaic Base

ASSOCIATED PRESS
Helsinki, Finland – 20 August 2025
++VIDEO CALL/BLURRING FROM SOURCE++
2. SOUNDBITE (English) Lauri Myllyvirta, Lead Analyst, Center for Research on Energy and Clean Air (CREA): ++PARTIALLY COVERED++
“We’re talking about really for the first time about a structural declining trend in China’s emissions. But, overall, China needs to get to that 3% territory as soon as possible.”

ASSOCIATED PRESS
Xining, Qinghai Province, China – 30 June 2025
3. Various of monitoring room of the grid of Qinghai

ASSOCIATED PRESS
Talatan, Qinghai Province, China – 1 July 2025
4. Various of Gonhe Talatan Photovoltaic Base
5. Various of sheep grazing in the solar farm
6. SOUNDBITE (Mandarin) Wang Anwei, Director of Energy Administration, Hainan Prefecture, Qinghai Province: ++PARTIALLY COVERED++
“We have reached a win-win situation on three ecological fronts. As a company, we can generate electricity from the top level. Under it, we can grow grass and maintain ecology. In the middle level, villagers can herd sheep under the panels.”
7. Close of grass under a solar panel
8. Wide of sheep grazing between solar panels
9. Various of solar panels
STORYLINE:
High on the Tibetan plateau, Chinese government officials last month showed off what they say will be the world’s largest solar farm when completed — 610 square kilometers (235 square miles), the size of the American city of Chicago.

China has been installing solar panels at a blistering pace, far faster than anywhere else in the world, and the investment is starting to pay off.

A study released Thursday found that the country’s carbon emissions edged down 1% in the first six months of the year compared to a year earlier, extending a trend that began in March 2024.

The good news is China’s carbon emissions may have peaked well ahead of a government target of doing so before 2030.

But China, the world’s biggest emitter of greenhouse gases, will need to bring them down much more sharply to play its part in slowing global climate change.

For China to reach its declared goal of carbon neutrality by 2060, emissions would need to fall 3% on average over the next 35 years, said Lauri Myllyvirta, the Finland-based author of the study and lead analyst at the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air.

“China needs to get to that 3% territory as soon as possible,” he told The Associated Press.

China’s emissions have fallen before during economic slowdowns.

What’s different this time is electricity demand is growing — up 3.7% in the first half of this year — but the increase in power from solar, wind and nuclear has easily outpaced that, according to Myllyvirta, who analyzes the most recent data in a study published on the U.K.-based Carbon Brief website.

“We’re talking really for the first time about a structural declining trend in China’s emissions,” he said.

China installed 212 gigawatts of solar capacity in the first six months of the year, more than America’s entire capacity of 178 gigawatts as of the end of 2024, the study said.

Electricity from solar has overtaken hydropower in China and is poised to surpass wind this year to become the country’s largest source of clean energy.

Some 51 gigawatts of wind power was added from January to June.

Solar panels have been installed on about two-thirds of the land.

Currently, thousands of sheep are grazing under the panels, making the solar energy base an ecological ranch.

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