How Trump’s tariffs and Modi’s use of Russian oil are souring the U.S.-India relationship

(5 Aug 2025)
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ASSOCIATED PRESS
Vienna, Virginia – 5 August 2025
1. SOUNDBITE (English) Ray Vickery, Center for Strategic & International Studies senior associate, former assistant U.S. secretary of commerce for trade development:
"I think the reaction of Prime Minister (Narendra) Modi has been one of dismay. He thought that he had a friend in Donald Trump. As you recall, they went together to Howdy Modi down in Houston the first time around, and, Trump was in India, so."

POOL
ARCHIVE: Houston – 22 September 2019
2. US President Donald Trump and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi together on stage for the Howdy Modi event

ASSOCIATED PRESS
Vienna, Virginia – 5 August 2025
1. SOUNDBITE (English) Ray Vickery, Center for Strategic & International Studies senior associate, former assistant U.S. secretary of commerce for trade development:
"The Trump administration has taken the transactional approach to an extreme with India, not looking at trying to build a relationship which is we’ve been working on for 30 years since the Clinton administration. But now saying that the trade must be open completely with India. India has had a predilection for protection of its infant industries. It’s been very wary of economic imperialism, and it has only been in the last few decades that we’ve been able to open up and to have economic engagement, which is beneficial to both sides. The relationship with Russia, of course, goes way back to the time of the Cold War when India was not going to choose sides, and the United States took umbrage at that and tried to force India into a coalition against Soviet communism. They didn’t want to do that. They wanted to maintain their independence for fear that it would be a neocolonial kind of situation with the West. And so those have been fundamental fault lines between the US and India from the very first."

ASSOCIATED PRESS
ARCHIVE: Mumbai – 1 August 2025
4. STILL Wide of people walk by as students of Gurukul school of Art complete artwork of U.S. President Donald Trump and Prime Minister of India Narendra Modi (AP Photo/Rajanish Kakade ID 25213448009300)
5. STILL Close of a student of Gurukul school of Art completes artwork of U.S. President Donald Trump and Prime Minister of India Narendra Modi (AP Photo/Rajanish Kakade ID 25213447725145)

ASSOCIATED PRESS
Vienna, Virginia – 5 August 2025
6. SOUNDBITE (English) Ray Vickery, Center for Strategic & International Studies senior associate, former assistant U.S. secretary of commerce for trade development:
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STORYLINE:
The friendliness between Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and U.S. President Donald Trump was seen as a relationship like no other.

The two men often shared bear hugs, showered flattering praise on each other and made appearances at stadium rallies — a boost in the arm for two populist leaders with ideological similarities.

All appeared well until a series of events left the ties between them — and their countries — sour.

From Trump’s tariffs to India’s purchase of oil from Russia, the friction between New Delhi and Washington has been noticeable.

Much of it has happened far from the corridors of power and, unsurprisingly, through Trump’s posts on social media.

It has left policy experts wondering whether the camaraderie the two leaders shared may be a thing of the past, even though Trump has stopped short of referring to Modi directly on social media. The dip in rapport, some say, puts a strategic bilateral relationship built over decades at risk.

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