China, US Close to TikTok Resolution, Trump Expects Big Fed Cut | The Opening Trade 9/15

The US and China are “very close” to resolving the TikTok issue, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told reporters on Monday as trade discussions resumed in Madrid. The American official touted progress in the negotiation as began a second day of dialogue with his Chinese counterparts in Madrid.

A quarter-point reduction in interest rates is seen as likely when the Fed announces its policy decision, with a small potential for a half-point move amid signs US job growth is slowing rapidly. Markets have priced in reductions continuing into 2026 to ward off a recession.

The Opening Trade has everything you need to know as markets open across Europe. With analysis you won’t find anywhere else, we break down the biggest stories of the day and speak to top guests who have skin in the game. Hosted by Guy Johnson and Valerie Tytel.

Chapters:
00:00:00 – The Opening Trade
00:03:04 – Fed to Cut Rates, Future Fed President
00:04:05 – Bessent Meets Chinese Officials in Madrid
00:06:40 – China Economy Slumping
00:10:00 – Trump Threatens to Federalize DC
00:11:56 – Fitch Downgrades France
00:13:42 – The Pitt Wins Emmy
00:15:50 – Four Fed Cuts in a Row: Morgan Stanley
00:21:15 – French-German 10Y Spreads Widen
00:27:06 – China Stimulus Expectations Raised
00:40:11 – France Debt, Fitch Dowgrade
00:46:52 – Stocks to Watch: Orsted, UBS, Luxury
00:54:36 – Bond Market Check
01:05:12 – Luxury Stocks Rally at Open
01:07:41 – New York Fashion Week, London Fashion Week
01:13:03 – Rubis Stock at 52-Week High
01:28:29 – French PM Budget Plans
01:31:15 – Trump UK State Visit
01:33:28 – AstraZeneca Pause $200M UK Investment
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