Ocean heat and La Nina combo likely mean more Atlantic hurricanes this summer

(23 May 2024)
RESTRICTION SUMMARY:

NOAA
++SOUNDBITE COVERED BY SLIDES++
Washington D.C. – 23 May 2024
1. Various of NOAA Administrator Rick Spinrad arriving to podium
2. SOUNDBITE (English) Rick Spinrad, NOAA Administrator:
"NOAA is predicting an above average 2024 Atlantic hurricane season. Specifically, there’s an 85% chance of an above normal season, a 10% chance of a near-normal season, and a 5% chance of a below normal season."

ASSOCIATED PRESS
ARCHIVE: Steinhatchee, Florida – 30 August 2023
3. Various drone footage of flooding after Hurricane Idalia ++MUTE++

NOAA
++SOUNDBITE COVERED BY SLIDES++
Washington D.C. – 23 May 2024
4. SOUNDBITE (English) Rick Spinrad, NOAA Administrator:
"For the range of storms expected, NOAA calls for the following: 17 to 25 named storms, with a top sustained wind of at least 39mph. Of these, 8 to 13 are forecast to become hurricanes, with maximum sustained winds of at least 74mph, and 4 to 7 are forecast to become major hurricanes. That is, category 3 to 5, with maximum sustained winds of at least 111mph. Of note, the forecast for name storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes is the highest NOAA has ever issued for the May outlook."

ASSOCIATED PRESS
ARCHIVE: Perry, Florida – 30 August 2023
5. Various of damage from hurricane Idalia

NOAA
++SOUNDBITE COVERED BY SLIDES++
Washington D.C. – 23 May 2024
6. SOUNDBITE (English) Rick Spinrad, NOAA Administrator:
"The official CPC forecast issued just this month indicates a 77% chance of La Nina forming during the August-October timeframe. We know the development of La Nina can lead to weaker easterly trade winds and below average vertical wind shear in the tropical Atlantic Ocean. This type of environment can be more conducive for tropical cyclone development."

++OVERLAID WITH COMMENTARY AT SOURCE++
POOL
ARCHIVE: Southwest Florida (exact location unknown) – 4 October 2022
7. Aerial of destroyed homes and property, damaged shrimp boats

NOAA
++SOUNDBITE COVERED BY SLIDES++
Washington D.C. – 23 May 2024
8. SOUNDBITE (English) Rick Spinrad, NOAA Administrator:
"We know warm sea surface temperatures are an important factor in rapid intensification of tropical cyclones to major hurricane status, and that major hurricanes contribute significantly to the measurement of ACE, the Accumulated Cyclone Energy. In past years, when we’ve seen high ACE numbers, those have historically been the years with the most destructive hurricanes. And this season, NOAA is forecasting the second highest ACE for our May outlook."

ASSOCIATED PRESS
ARCHIVE: Matlacha, Florida – 4 October 2022
9. Various of crews working to remove debris after Hurricane Ian

NOAA
++SOUNDBITE COVERED BY SLIDES++
Washington D.C. – 23 May 2024
10. SOUNDBITE (English) Ken Graham, National Weather Service Director:
"Those numbers, I mean, that’s the highest forecast that we’ve had. So all the ingredients are definitely in place to have an active season. And you know, it’s reason to be concerned, of course, but not alarmed. Okay. So we need to use this time to to our advantage to, to really be prepared for the hurricane season. And if you think about a hurricane threatening, definitely got to take the time to plan."

ASSOCIATED PRESS
ARCHIVE: San Juan, Puerto Rico – 20 September 2017
11. Various strong winds and rain lashing streets of San Juan from Hurricane Maria
STORYLINE:
Get ready for what nearly all the experts think will be one of the busiest Atlantic hurricane seasons on record, thanks to unprecedented ocean heat and a brewing La Nina.

______

Find out more about AP Archive: http://www.aparchive.com/HowWeWork
Twitter: https://twitter.com/AP_Archive
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/APArchives ​​
Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/APNews/

You can license this story through AP Archive: http://www.aparchive.com/metadata/youtube/b87c2fd3739747ca91383ff7ec56ef22

Author: admin